Changes in variability of air temperature and precipitation as an agrometeorological factor

G.V. Surkova, K. Pona

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle


Results are given of modeling experiments on sensitivity of winter wheat to variability of daily temperature maximums and minimums and also to variability of the amount and frequency of precipitation. The CERES-Wheat V.3.0 model of wheat growth and development is realized for five climate scenarios with different variability of air temperature and precipitation for three typical locations on the Apennines Peninsula. The data of these stations are used as a base for the Weather Generator WXGEN, the basis of which scenarios with various variability are formed. It is shown that a decrease in variability of precipitation leads to a general yield decrease for all periods, but, in this case, variability of productivity also decreases from year to year. A decrease in temperature variability results in a small increase of productivity and growth of yield variability from year to year. An increase in temperature variability leads to a reduction of crop yield and to an increase in its interannual variability.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)56 - 66
Number of pages11
JournalRussian Meteorology and Hydrology
Issue number6
Publication statusPublished - 2002
Externally publishedYes


All Science Journal Classification (ASJC) codes

  • Water Science and Technology
  • Fluid Flow and Transfer Processes
  • Atmospheric Science

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