Conclusions -The predictive Bayes approach to reliability provides a rational method for scoring different design solutions for systems which can fail. This statement is supported by solving the problem of optimal design of Scram systems formed from constant-failure-rate components, and called into operation by plant-transients which occur according to a Poisson process. The lessons from this exercise are: • in the predictive Bayes frame, any reliability problem is a sequential statistical decision problem; • design by mean-cost minimization (the use of Bayes approach, and in particular its predictive version) requires extensive numerical analysis. ©1996 IEEE.
All Science Journal Classification (ASJC) codes
- Safety, Risk, Reliability and Quality
- Electrical and Electronic Engineering
Clarotti, C. A., & Spizzichino, F. (1996). Predictive bayes design of scram systems: Related mathematics and philosophical implications. IEEE Transactions on Reliability, 45(3), 485 - 490. https://doi.org/10.1109/24.537020